Conveners
Machine learning and industrial applications (SFdS)
- Chair: Yannig Goude (EDF R&D)
Description
Societe Francaise de Statistique (SFdS)
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Vincent Thouvenot14/09/2021, 16:45
Machine Learning is enjoying an increasing success in many applications: defense, cyber security, etc. However, models are often very complex. This is problematic, especially for critical systems, because end-users need to fully understand the decisions of an algorithm (e.g. why an alert has been triggered or why a person has a high probability of cancer recurrence). One solution is to offer...
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Margaux Brégère14/09/2021, 17:05Other/special session/invited session
We propose a three-step approach to forecasting time series of electricity consumption at different levels of household aggregation. These series are linked by hierarchical constraints -global consumption is the sum of regional consumption, for example. First, benchmark forecasts are generated for all series using generalized additive models; second, for each series, the aggregation algorithm...
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Merlin Keller (EDF R&D, France)14/09/2021, 17:25Other/special session/invited session
We propose a methodology for the selection and/or aggregation of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) models, which uses Bayes's theory by optimally exploiting all available observations, in this case, the seismic and accelerometric databases. When compared to the actual method of calculation, the proposed approach, simpler to implement, allows a significant reduction in computation...
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Matteo Fasiolo14/09/2021, 17:45Other/special session/invited session
Future grid management systems will coordinate distributed production and storage resources to manage, in a cost-effective fashion,
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the increased load and variability brought by the electrification of transportation and by a higher share of weather-dependent production.
Electricity demand forecasts at a low level of aggregation will be key inputs for such systems. In this talk, I'll focus on...