Sep 6 – 10, 2026
Centro Didattico Morgagni
Europe/Rome timezone

A Semi-Supervised Framework for Optimisation-Based Label Inference in RUL Prediction

Not scheduled
20m
Centro Didattico Morgagni

Centro Didattico Morgagni

Viale Morgagni 40, Firenze
Time Series, Forecasting and Dynamic Systems

Speaker

Joseph Cupit (The University of Manchester)

Description

Industrial systems generate large volumes of operational data, enabling predictive maintenance strategies to reduce unplanned downtime and costs. Over the past decade, machine learning (ML) models have been widely used for predicting equipment degradation. However, their effectiveness is constrained by the scarcity of high-quality labels, as industrial datasets remain largely unlabelled. Existing labelling approaches typically rely on expert domain knowledge or simplified degradation assumptions, which can introduce bias and limit generalisability.
This work proposes a novel semi-supervised framework for inferring key performance indicators, including Remaining Useful Life (RUL), from limited labelled data. The approach formulates label estimation as an optimisation problem, where candidate labels are iteratively updated to minimise prediction error. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks are constructed within each iteration to evaluate solution quality and guide the optimisation process, enabling progressive refinement of inferred labels while improving predictive accuracy.
The framework is evaluated on two established predictive maintenance datasets. Initial results indicate that it can effectively infer the RUL for large amounts of previously unlabelled data and achieves high predictive accuracy on unseen batches. Furthermore, by extracting additional process information from the newly labelled batch data, the framework expands the effective training dataset and enables continuous refinement of the LSTM networks. This allows them to learn a more comprehensive representation of system behaviour and supports the development of more robust and transferable predictive maintenance models.

Classification Mainly methodology
Keywords Semi-Supervised Learning, Label Inference, Predictive Maintenance

Primary author

Joseph Cupit (The University of Manchester)

Co-authors

Presentation materials

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