14–18 Sept 2025
Piraeus, Greece
Europe/Athens timezone

Stochastic Optimization for Data-Driven Dynamic Pricing in Reservation Systems

Not scheduled
20m
Piraeus, Greece

Piraeus, Greece

Statistical/Stochastic Modelling

Speaker

Polychronis Economou (University of Patras)

Description

In reservation-based services with volatile demand and competitive pricing pressures, dynamically optimizing prices is essential for revenue maximization. This paper introduces a data-driven pricing framework that integrates demand forecasting with stochastic optimization. We model customer arrivals using a non-homogeneous Poisson process, where expected demand is estimated through a Poisson Generalized Linear Model (GLM) trained on historical data. Leveraging this demand model, we formulate a dynamic pricing strategy using stochastic dynamic programming to update prices over time, considering real-time availability and market conditions. The approach aims to maximize total expected revenue while adapting to evolving demand patterns.

Classification Mainly methodology
Keywords Poisson GLM, Revenue Optimization, Stochastic Dynamic Programming

Primary author

Ekaterini Skamnia (University of Patras)

Co-authors

Polychronis Economou (University of Patras) Sotiris Bersimis (University of Piraeus, Greece)

Presentation materials

There are no materials yet.