Speaker
moshe pollak
(hebrew university of jerusalem)
Description
In the framework of the Cusum procedure, the evolution of a false alarm has a well-understood stochastic behavior. So, if observations preceding an alarm were to exhibit a behavior that is significantly different, there would be reason to reject the hypothesis that the alarm is false.
We develop a test of this difference. The method is applied to detecting a change in a Covid-19 context involving a possible increase of a mean and in a context involving a possible increase in the probability of a rare event.
| Classification | Mainly methodology |
|---|---|
| Keywords | control chart; p-value; Covid-19 |
Primary author
moshe pollak
(hebrew university of jerusalem)