10–14 Sept 2023
Europe/Madrid timezone

Self-Starting Bayesian Hotelling $T^2$ for Online Multivariate Outlier Detection

12 Sept 2023, 18:30
20m
2.12

2.12

Speaker

Konstantinos Bourazas (University of Ioannina)

Description

Hotelling’s $T^2$ control chart is probably the most widely used tool in detecting outliers in a multivariate normal distribution setting. Within its classical scheme, the unknown process parameters (i.e., mean vector and variance-covariance matrix) are estimated via a phase I (calibration) stage, before online testing can be initiated in phase II. In this work we develop the self-starting analogue of Hotelling’s $T^2$, within the Bayesian arena, allowing online inference from the early start of the process. Both mean and variance-covariance matrix will be assumed unknown, and a conjugate (power) prior will be adopted, guaranteeing a closed form mechanism. Theoretical properties, including power calculations of the proposed scheme, along with root-cause related post-alarm inference methods are studied. The performance is examined via a simulation study, while some real multivariate data illustrate its use in practice.

Classification Mainly methodology
Keywords Bayesian statistical process control and monitoring, multivariate power prior, post alarm inference

Primary authors

Konstantinos Bourazas (University of Ioannina) Prof. Apostolos Batsidis (University of Ioannina) Panagiotis Tsiamyrtzis (Politecnico di Milano)

Presentation materials

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