26-30 June 2022
Europe/Berlin timezone

Predictive monitoring using machine learning algorithms and a real-life example on schizophrenia

29 Jun 2022, 11:00



Leo Huberts (University of Amsterdam)


Predictive process monitoring aims to produce early warnings of unwanted events. We consider the use of the machine learning method extreme gradient boosting as the forecasting model in predictive monitoring. A tuning algorithm is proposed as the signaling method to produce a required false alarm rate. We demonstrate the procedure using a unique data set on mental health in the Netherlands. The goal of this application is to support healthcare workers in identifying the risk of a mental health crisis in people diagnosed with schizophrenia. The procedure we outline offers promising results and a novel approach to predictive monitoring.

Keywords Predictive Process Monitoring; Tuning Algorithm; Mental Health

Primary authors

Leo Huberts (University of Amsterdam) Ronald J.M.M. Does (IBIS UvA and University of Amsterdam)

Presentation Materials